An article written by Professor Anne Magurran and Dr Maria Dornelas.

Today, despite the great efforts of scientists of the preceding centuries, we still have an incomplete record of biological diversity. Mammals and birds are reasonably well documented, and plants, amphibians, reptiles and fish are to a lesser extent. However, many invertebrate species remain to be described, while microbes are a largely unexplored frontier. The number of species thought to exist today is somewhere between 5 and 10 million, but could be as few as 3 million, or as many as 100 million.

Species counts are only one way of recording biodiversity. In recent years advances in molecular methods mean researchers can now examine DNA and RNA directly and use it to deduce the evolutionary relationships of organisms and the functions they perform. While microbial biodiversity remains incompletely described, the rapid development of molecular techniques is allowing researchers to develop a picture of this ‘hidden biosphere’. We now know that microbes represent a large proportion of the biological diversity present on Earth: they underpin biogeochemical cycles, regulate nutrient cycling and probably offer our best insights into life in other solar systems.

Although patterns of biological diversity and the observation that there are more rare species than common ones were evident to the explorers who first began to document the natural world, ecologists have been searching for explanations for these relationships.  Field studies and new mathematical models are allowing researchers to establish the influences of biological interactions, evolutionary history and chance in determining the number and relative abundances of species in different habitats.

A number of long-term studies have also helped quantify changes in biological diversity through time. These and other investigations reveal that environmental variability, combined with continuous colonisation and local extinction create natural change in ecological communities. Many people assume that conservation is rather like managing a collection of pictures in an art museum. However some change, including local species loss, is entirely natural and needs to be integrated into conservation management.  As Darwin first recognised, biodiversity is not static: on a long timescale, new species are constantly arising and becoming extinct. On shorter term scales, species increase and decrease in abundance, colonise new areas, and become locally extinct in others.  What is more difficult is separating the modification due to human activities from the ongoing natural changes. Research showcased this year has been examining how communities vary through time, the processes that are involved in this variability, anand the implications of these changes.

It is clear that biological diversity is under threat as never before. In the 1700s the world’s population was around 700 million. It was a period when technology had a modest impact on the environment. Explorers could still find regions and even continents that were essentially untouched. The contrast with today is marked and the footprint that humanity leaves on natural landscapes is now substantial. Over 75% of ice-free land has been modified by human activities, and the few remaining wild areas are already affected. The situation in the oceans is equally stark. Exploitation, including over-fishing, pollution, climate change and the associated rise in carbon dioxide are leading to irreversible transformations, and the impact of our species on the planet makes another mass extinction seem inevitable, unless we take urgent action to reverse current trends.

The loss of biological diversity is much more than an academic concern. We depend on biological diversity in many different ways. It plays a crucial role in providing ecosystem services such as natural harvests, carbon capture and storage, pollination and soil formation. We depend on the species that share our planet to recycle our waste, and provide clean air and essential nutrients. Environmental change has always been present, and has helped shape biodiversity patterns of today. However, never before has one species caused such profound changes to the habitats and climate of the planet.

A deeper understanding of natural changes in biological diversity and how ecological systems have responded in the past, for example at the time of the last ice-age, will help us develop practices and policies to secure a sustainable future.  This challenge is perhaps the greatest that our species has ever confronted, but unless we individually and collectively face up to it, our world will lose much of the biological diversity on which we depend, before we have had the opportunity to fully appreciate what is being lost.

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Publisher and/or Author and/or Managing Editor:__Andres Agostini ─ @Futuretronium at Twitter! Futuretronium Book at http://3.ly/rECc