QUANTA


Wednesday, June 19, 2013

"We live in a very fluid, changing world; each step we take towards the future will enable us to experience life in a new and different way."


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"Every technology that we use today will someday go away, and it will be replaced by something else."


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"As a society, we haven't seen the end of too many eras, but we are on the verge of experiencing many things disappearing in the near future. Often times, the soon-to-be-obsolete technology will be replaced by two or three other technologies."


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“We all go from anticipation to anticipation. In cyberspace there’s always room over the next ridge to build a new perspective of heaven.”


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"What if we step beyond simply predicting the future and instead work on controlling it?"


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"In the years ahead, the speed of business will continue to accelerate, and executive teams will quickly learn that simply planning for the future is no longer good enough."


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"Much like walking through a dark forest
with a flashlight,
the future comes into focus only a short
distance in front of us.
So how do we create a brighter
flashlight?"


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We are a very backward-looking society.


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"Why bother predicting the future when you can control it?"


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The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity, a little-known U.S. government organization, is developing analytic programs for the National Security Agency that could make recent revelations about the NSA’s activities look antiquated by comparison. Rather than reviewing archival data, it may use current data to predict the future.  At http://goo.gl/3BsF3


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2013/03/19 DARPA Envisions the Future of Machine Learning At http://goo.gl/sNOly


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BBC - Future - Science & Environment - Darpa: The element of ... At http://goo.gl/AB0V3


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NASA - Beyond Earth: Expanding Human Presence Into the Solar ... At http://goo.gl/L91u5


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The Future of Nuclear Power Runs on the Waste of Our Nuclear Past At http://goo.gl/qzeyk


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The Future of Geothermal Energy - MIT Energy Initiative At http://goo.gl/aqlsJ


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Center for Future Storytelling | MIT Media Lab At http://goo.gl/862pa


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The Scientific Century: securing our future ... - The Royal Society At http://goo.gl/VXtbG


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Human enhancement and the future of work report | Royal Society At http://goo.gl/i8hxb


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Peter Diamandis: Abundance is our future | Video on TED.com At http://goo.gl/KUWdJ


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The Futurist Interviews Ray Kurzweil | World Future Society At http://goo.gl/WVvUq


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Imagining The Future: Ray Kurzweil Has “Unlimited Resources” For AI, Language Research At Google At http://goo.gl/eN8Ep


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Predictions made by Ray Kurzweil - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia At http://goo.gl/qBFqK


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Gary Hamel: Reinventing the Technology of Human Accomplishment At http://goo.gl/aQA4S


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Gary Hamel on The Future Of Management - SlideShare At http://goo.gl/6PoCE


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Gary Hamel The Future of Management At http://goo.gl/zzTaf


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10 pointers towards Google's future - Software - Technology - News ... At http://goo.gl/sqT17


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In Google's Future, We Will All Be Developers – ReadWrite At http://goo.gl/qRXmN


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Google Future Tech: 10 Coolest Google R&D Projects - CIO.com At http://goo.gl/N42mP


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Designing cities of the future | What future urban living | The Guardian At http://goo.gl/lTvJt


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The Financial Time Machine: How to Predict Our Economy's Future At http://goo.gl/Sne64


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Sci-Fi Thriller Sends Famous Brands Into Future - Wall Street Journal At http://goo.gl/ObTCV


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For Wearable Computers, Future Looks Blurry - Wall Street Journal At http://goo.gl/JqpSb


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12 Ideas About The Future Of Media (From New York Times, Digg, and The New School) At http://goo.gl/BR847


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Youth Readiness for the Future: A Report of the Gallup Student Poll At http://goo.gl/yUSN3


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Youth Readiness for the Future: A Report of the Gallup Student Poll At http://goo.gl/yUSN3


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Arthur D. Little: Multimodal cities of 2050 At http://goo.gl/Zgtpe


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The Future of Urban Mobility - Arthur D. Little At http://goo.gl/1xUQD


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Future State Value Stream Mapping ...{Strategos} - Strategos, Inc. At http://goo.gl/EWLKu


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Inventing the Future of Healthcare - Huron Consulting Group At http://goo.gl/paAyV


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2020 Future Value Chain: Building Strategies for the New Decade At http://goo.gl/y4rCj


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Insider Analysis From LEK Consulting On The Future Of Healthcare ... At http://goo.gl/4Pcqv


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Towers Watson outline future investment trends - Financial News At http://goo.gl/hM4Ok


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Towers Watson: Shaping the HR Function of Tomorrow…Today At http://goo.gl/T6ejU


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Health Care Workforce of the Future - Towers Watson - At http://goo.gl/yF4jo


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Viewpoints Q&A: Future of Talent - Towers Watson At http://goo.gl/RXe90


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The Australian's Future of Reporting roundtable, sponsored by KPMG At http://goo.gl/mcW0a


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Meet Me At The Luxembourg Business Compass / KPMG Conference On May 22nd (Keynote On The Future Of Business) At http://goo.gl/yo6HC


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Finance of the future: Looking forward to 2020 | KPMG | CA At http://goo.gl/0KgK2


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Focus on the future | KPMG | EU At http://goo.gl/7YwP8


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IBM CEO Predicts Three Ways Technology Will Transform The Future Of Business ... At http://goo.gl/ofwiq


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IBM - A Snapshot of Australia's Digital Future to 2050 - Australia At http://goo.gl/qZwL5


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Ginni Rometty reveals the future of Watson for IBM - Fortune Tech At http://goo.gl/Gu0wj


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Oliver Wyman to help Sebi become future-ready | Business Standard At http://goo.gl/U7Wls


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Oliver Wyman » The Future of US Banking At http://goo.gl/eD4G6


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The Future of Banking - Oliver Wyman At http://goo.gl/VQkgt


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Oliver Wyman » The Future of Airports At http://goo.gl/wNo8X


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Oliver Wyman » The Future of Canadian Banking At http://goo.gl/R8pZn


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Oliver Wyman » The Future of Asian Banking Volume 1 At http://goo.gl/oZ06y


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Oliver Wyman » The Future of Asian Banking Volume 1 At http://goo.gl/oZ06y


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Innovation Conversation - The Future of Retirement - Mercer At http://goo.gl/piQKS


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Turning the page: The future of eBooks - PwC At http://goo.gl/tCjPD


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Deloitte | 2013 Human Capital Trends | Seven Crucial Leadership ... At http://goo.gl/fFqDg


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Booz & Co's Tom Stewart on Future of Professional Services ... At http://goo.gl/6PZrf


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The Future of Green Aviation - Booz & Company At http://goo.gl/rLuX0


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Building the Utility of the Future - Booz & Company At http://goo.gl/Qyj22


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Future of Banking - Booz & Company At http://goo.gl/AXxTZ


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Institute for Global Futures | Global Futures Forecast 2013  At http://goo.gl/px4DN


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Don't fight the future - Bain & Company - Publications At http://goo.gl/fa4kD


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Tech Talk: The Future of IT - Bain & Company - About At http://goo.gl/uCiZk


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The future of video: Radically open - Bain & Company - Publications At http://goo.gl/rtTO9


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The future of shopping - Bain & Company - Publications At http://goo.gl/uho92


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Own the Future: 50 Ways to Win from The Boston Consulting Group ... At http://goo.gl/dR6Ff



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Public Service for the Future – Accenture At http://goo.gl/k88GP


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The eyes have it: Guess who controls the future of TV | Accenture ... At http://goo.gl/maVpl


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The Future : All Hazards Health Preparedness - Booz Allen Hamilton  At http://goo.gl/BQIvF


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The Future : All Hazards Health Preparedness - Booz Allen Hamilton  At http://goo.gl/BQIvF


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Wargaming: Experience the Future - Booz Allen Hamilton At http://goo.gl/FeR74


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Growth and Future of Megacommunities - Booz Allen Hamilton At http://goo.gl/SSarB

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BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON: Helping Clients Envision the Future: At http://goo.gl/x1Yd9


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An economy that works: Job creation and America's future McKinsey ... http://goo.gl/9xh37


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Shaping the future McKinsey on Society at http://goo.gl/Yh9IZ


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An economy that works: Job creation and America's future ... At http://goo.gl/oozHO


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Help wanted: The future of work in advanced economies | McKinsey ... At http://goo.gl/j8TYj

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Manufacturing the future: The next era of global growth and innovation at http://goo.gl/prILP

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University of the future - EY - Australia - Ernst & Young at http://goo.gl/Zer92
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Wednesday, June 5, 2013

 The future of leadership:  http://ow.ly/lID9l


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 “He that will not apply new remedies must expect new evils.” - Francis Bacon


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“Creativity is thinking up new things. Innovation is doing new things.” - William Laird Levitt 


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“There can be no economy where there is no efficiency.” - Benjamin Disraeli


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“Never confuse motion with action” - Ernest Hemingway


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"...Read the subtle signs that something new is in the wind..."


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“Out there in some garage is an entrepreneur who’s forging a bullet with your company’s name on it.” -Gary Hamel


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Monday, December 31, 2012

Google and Ray Kurzweil into advanced trans-humanism?


Google’s New Director of Engineering Is Planning To Change The Future Of Humanity….Inventor Ray Kurzweil hopes to develop ways from humans to live forever, and while he’s at it, bring back his dead father. Behind him is the support of a tech giant…”

Ray Kurzweil, Google's Director Of Engineering, Wants To Bring The Dead Back To Life

Inventor Ray Kurzweil hopes to develop ways for humans to live forever, and while he’s at it, bring back his dead father.

Behind him is the support of a tech giant. This month, Kurzweil, a futurist, stepped into the role of Director of Engineering at Google, focusing on machine learning and language processing.

"There is a lot of suffering in the world," Kurzweil once said, according to Bloomberg. "Some of it can be overcome if we have the right solutions."

Since his father's death in 1970, Kurzweil has stored his keepsakes in hopes the data will one day be fed into a computer capable of creating a virtual version of him, Bloomberg reported. Interestingly, one of his novels lays out how humans might "transcend biology."

According to TechCrunch, his controversial theories are rooted in the idea of technological singularity, a time when humans and machines sync up to the point of nearly limitless advancement.

That idea, which interests Google co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin, could happen as soon as 2030, Kurzweil says.

"We are a human machine civilization and we create these tools to make ourselves smarter," Kurzweil told Scientific American.

In his latest book, "How To Create A Mind: The Secret of Human Thought Revealed," he writes about wanting to engineer a computerized replica of the human brain. If we understand the brain well enough, he says, we would be better equipped to fix its problems, like mental and neurological illnesses.

He imagines a search engine capable of accessing a database of your thoughts, stored in the Cloud. It would anticipate what people are seeking before they even know.

Much of this may sound nearly impossible, but Kurzweil has been spot-on about technological forecasts in the past.

"In 1999, I said that in about a decade we would see technologies such as self-driving cars and mobile phones that could answer your questions, and people criticized these predictions as unrealistic," he said in a statement announcing his position at Google. "Fast forward a decade –- Google has demonstrated self-driving cars, and people are indeed asking questions of their Android phones."

Digital Trends places Kurzweil among the most-celebrated and recognized innovators of the last four decades. In 1976, several of his innovations converged into the first device that could read printed text out loud for the blind. He was 27 years old at the time.

Now, the next generation of inventors will learn from him. Google recently allotted more than $250,000 toward his graduate school, Singularity University, according to Bloomberg. After 10 weeks of a curriculum focusing on biotech, robots, and artificial intelligence, students -- forgoing a traditional degree -- create their own startups.

"I'm thrilled to be teaming up with Google to work on some of the hardest problems in computer science so we can turn the next decade's 'unrealistic' visions into reality," Kurzweil said in the statement.



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Tuesday, December 25, 2012


The robotic equivalent of a Swiss army knife

Reconfigurable robot a step toward something that can become almost anything.

The device doesn’t look like much: a caterpillar-sized assembly of metal rings and strips resembling something you might find buried in a home-workshop drawer. But the technology behind it, and the long-range possibilities it represents, are quite remarkable.

The little device is called a milli-motein — a name melding its millimeter-sized components and a motorized design inspired by proteins, which naturally fold themselves into incredibly complex shapes. This minuscule robot may be a harbinger of future devices that could fold themselves up into almost any shape imaginable.

The device was conceived by Neil Gershenfeld, head of MIT’s Center for Bits and Atoms, visiting scientist Ara Knaian and postdoctoral associate Kenneth Cheung, and is described in a paper presented recently at the 2012 Intelligent Robots and Systems conference. Its key feature, Gershenfeld says: “It’s effectively a one-dimensional robot that can be made in a continuous strip, without conventionally moving parts, and then folded into arbitrary shapes.”

To build the world’s smallest chain robot, the team had to invent an entirely new kind of motor: not only small and strong, but also able to hold its position firmly even with power switched off. The researchers met these needs with a new system called an electropermanent motor.

The motor is similar in principle to the giant electromagnets used in scrapyards to lift cars, in which a powerful permanent magnet (one that, like an ordinary bar magnet, requires no power) is paired with a weaker magnet (one whose magnetic field direction can be flipped by an electric current in a coil). The two magnets are designed so that their fields either add or cancel, depending on which way the switchable field points. Thus, the force of the powerful magnet can be turned off at will — such as to release a suspended car — without having to power an enormous electromagnet the whole time.

A four-segment milli-motein chain with a one-centimeter 
module size. 

In this new miniature version, a series of permanent magnets paired with electromagnets are arranged in a circle; they drive a steel ring that’s situated around them. The key innovation, Knaian explains, is that “they do not take power in either the on or the off state, but only use power in the changing state,” using minimal energy overall.

The milli-motein concept follows up on a paper, published last year, which examined the theoretical possibility of assembling any desired 3-D shape simply by folding a long string of identical subunits. That paper, co-authored by Cheung, MIT professor Erik Demaine, alumnus Saul Griffith, and former Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory research scientist Jonathan Bachrach, proved mathematically that it was possible for any 3-D shape to be reproduced by folding a sufficiently long string — and that it’s possible to figure out how to fold such a string, and the exact steps needed to successfully reach the desired endpoint.

“We showed that you could make such a universal system that’s very simple,” Cheung says. While he and his colleagues have not yet proved a way of always finding the optimal path to a given folded shape, they did find several useful strategies for arriving at practical folding sequences. 

Demaine points out that the folding of the shape doesn’t have to be sequential, moving along the string one joint at a time. “Ideally, you’d like to do it all at once,” he says, with each of the joints folding themselves to the desired configuration simultaneously so that the loads are distributed.

Other researchers, including some at MIT, have explored the idea of fashioning reconfigurable robots from a batch of separate pieces that could self-assemble into different configurations — an approach sometimes called “programmable pebbles.” But Gershenfeld’s team found that a string of subunits capable of folding itself into any shape could be simpler in terms of control, power and communications than using separate pieces that must find each other and assemble in the right order. “You can just pass signals down the chain,” Knaian says.

It’s part of an overall approach, Gershenfeld explains, to “turning data into things.” In an article in the current issue of the magazine Foreign Affairs, he describes a technology roadmap for accomplishing that, and its policy implications. He and his colleagues have established a global network of more than 100 “fab labs” that provide community access to computer-controlled fabrication tools. Today, the design information is contained in an external computer rather than in the materials being manufactured, but the research goal is to digitize the materials themselves so that they can ultimately change their own shape, as the milli-motein does.

Hod Lipson, an associate professor of mechanical and aerospace engineering and computing and information science at Cornell University, says,  "This result brings us closer to the idea of programmable matter — where computer programs and materials merge to form a new kind of matter whose shape and function can be programmed — not unlike biology. Many people are excited today to learn about 3-D printing and its ability to fabricate any shape; Gershenfeld’s group is already thinking about the next episode, where we don’t just control the shape of objects, but also their behavior."

The milli-motein is part of a family of such devices being explored at size scales ranging from protein-based “nanoassemblers” to a version where the chain is as big as a person, Gershenfeld says. Ultimately, a reconfigurable robot should be “small, cheap, durable and strong,” Knaian says, adding that right now, “it’s not possible to get all of those.” Still, he points out, “Biology is the existence proof that it is possible.”

The MIT researchers’ work could lead to robotic systems that can be dynamically reconfigured to do many different jobs rather than repeating a fixed function, and that can be produced much more cheaply than conventional robotics.

The development of the milli-motein included recent graduate Maxim Lobovsky SM '11 and undergraduate students Asa Oines and Peter Schmidt-Neilsen (who worked on the project as visiting high-school students). The work was supported by the U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency’s Maximum Mobility and Manipulation and Programmable Matter projects.



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License Plates, Cameras, and Our Vanishing Privacy

New license-plate video cameras are tracking millions of us as we drive around  

Last year we did several shows about GPS tracking of automobiles, that is, whether the police can attach a tracking device to a suspect’s car, and do they need a warrant for that. As it turns out, that question is almost irrelevant, quaint, even. Today the police have a wide variety of ways to track us, none of which involve actually touching your car.

The latest and most disturbing development is the way law enforcement officials can use license plate information culled from video cameras—a practice that turns out to be vastly more common than you might think, because there are way more video cameras photographing license plates than you probably thought. Besides fixed cameras, such as at traffic lights, cops themselves are wielding recording equipment optimized for reading license plates. According to an article in The Wall Street Journal, a study by the Center for Evidence-Based Crime Policy found that “37 percent of large police departments were using [license] plate readers.”

At just one of them, the Riverside County Sheriff's Department in California, 49 camera-equipped vehicles took 6 million scans, recording a total of 2 million unique license plates over a two-year period that ended this August.

And it’s not just the government. The Wall Street Journal article described vast databases of hundreds of millions of license plate scans by private companies. It cited a single auto repossession agency in Baltimore, whose agents—repo men, as they’re popularly called—scan over 10 million plates each year now.

There’s a wide variety of other technologies now being employed by law enforcement: radioactivity detectors, automotive black boxes, navigation systems, automated toll collection, the GPS in your cellphone, the traffic cameras I mentioned, civilian drones, facial recognition software, and more. And it can all be correlated with driver’s license databases, credit card information, national identity registries, cellular billing records, supermarket discount cards, and, again, more.

My guest today is Colonel Lisa Shay. She’s a professor of electrical engineering at West Point, the U.S. Military Academy, that is, in New York State. She has a Ph.D. in electrical engineering from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, also in New York.

Lisa, welcome to the podcast.

Lisa Shay: Thank you very much, Steven.

Steven Cherry: So first tell us a little bit about the license plate readers. The technology has gotten a bit more common lately. Is that just Moore’s Law at work?

Lisa Shay: Well, absolutely, that’s a component of it. We have an increased capability to make sensors smaller and smaller, and because they’re smaller, they can physically be used in more places. As demand becomes higher, they become mass-produced, and the cost goes down, and so it’s sort of a version of Moore’s Law. It’s kind of a combination of Moore’s Law and mass production.

Steven Cherry: And they’ve gotten a lot more accurate lately?

Lisa Shay: Well, that is an interesting question. The cameras themselves are simply sensors, and so it’s not really accurate to say how accurate that is. When you talk about accuracy, you’re interpreting an image, doing some sort of optical character recognition on it, so there’s two parts to that: The sensors themselves are becoming better in that they have higher resolution, but the accuracy of the algorithm that does the optical character recognition is . . . it depends, and there’s not a lot of data on that that’s been published.

Steven Cherry: So how does this work? The video camera snaps the actual back of a car, let’s say, and the software focuses in on the license plate and tries to read it as numbers and letters?

Lisa Shay: Yes, that’s exactly what happens.

Steven Cherry: All right, so a cop can see someone speeding or driving recklessly, and they’re able to snap a picture instantly, and with improving, at least, accuracy. What’s wrong with that?

Lisa Shay: Well, potentially there’s not a whole lot wrong with that. If a policeman is using this system because they’ve identified that there is a crime being committed, and they’re using this as a way of enforcing a law that they’ve already determined has been broken, I think that’s fine. The question is really the broader topic that was brought out in your introduction, that there are many cameras that are set up all over the country that are photographing traffic. And the question then is, Where is that data being sent? Who is analyzing it? And what is being done with it? Is it being used for what purpose? Because traffic cameras that are just continuously on are recording data from people who are perfectly law abiding, who are simply driving to work on a public highway.

Steven Cherry: I said that the license plate data can be correlated with a lot of other databases. Are they, in fact, being correlated? And who’s doing that?

Lisa Shay: Well, there was just actually published in a conference in Boston in October a paper discussing exactly that by a group of investigators in the United Kingdom. They assert, in fact, that, yes, these license plate readers in the UK are being combined with the police, with other data from either cellphones or other location-based information, to identify criminals or to track criminal suspects. The technology certainly exists for police to, or other organizations to, do this because every cellphone nowadays just about has a GPS in it, and the cellphone companies know where each cellphone is, so that data is available to them. And license plate data is available to whatever entities operate these roadside traffic cameras, which are a variety of different entities that operate those systems. And, of course, there’s private companies that operate the cameras that do the repo men, as you mentioned.

So these datasets exist. They exist in digital form, and any dataset that exists in digital form can be easily transmitted somewhere else; it can be easily processed. And that can be done intentionally, because the companies that own these datasets desire to aggregate them, or it could be done unintentionally, because someone hacks into this database of this information and then correlates it. So there’s the privacy concern that’s twofold: One, that this information might be accessed illegally by hackers, or that the companies that collect this data could then sell it to each other for either market research or for some other purpose.

Steven Cherry: In the movies, we often see the government with a sort of perfect ability to track someone as they move around a city or across a country. They do this in the TV show Homeland all the time, for example. It’s completely unrealistic now, but I gather you fear it’s becoming quite realistic, and that this license plate technology could end up becoming a key part of that equation.

Lisa Shay: Well, that’s a concern. There’s two parts to that: One is, can someone be tracked perfectly? What are the limits to this system? Because every technological system, every tracking system, has false alarm rates. There’s false positives and there’s false negatives, and those are inherent to any system, and there’s not a lot of rigorous analysis being done on these systems to determine what are those false alarm rates. And so it is possible that you have this illusion of perfect tracking, but in fact you’re not tracking the right person.

And then on the flipside, even if you are tracking people, then at what point do we have a right to privacy? There’s certainly expectations of privacy in one’s own home that can be violated because your GPS signal is, in many cases, detectable outside of your home. So there’s strict privacy that’s clearly violated by some of these systems. But then there’s even a less-precise notion of privacy, that at any given moment in time that I’m walking down the street, I’m in public, and anyone, of course, can see me, but that’s a very transient phenomenon. The people who see me, 99 percent of them don’t know who I am. They don’t remember me more than three or four seconds after they’ve seen me, and unless I’m looking for somebody, I’m looking to meet a friend, say, at a restaurant, it’s almost an anonymous system. Yes, I’m in public, but my data isn’t persistent in any way.

That all changes when this data is stored electronically, because now a log, a record, is being kept of my whereabouts that could be viewed later. It is a persistent record. It can be viewed not just by the 10 people on the sidewalk that I happen to pass, but anybody anywhere in the world that has electronic access to this dataset.

Steven Cherry: And to connect it up with everything else you’re doing in your day . . .

Lisa Shay: Right. Yes, and then to note that I went to a grocery store, and then the data collected by my grocery loyalty card can be linked to the fact that I didn’t go to the gym that day and instead bought a package of cookies, and then that goes to my health insurance company that says, “Oh, you’re no longer exercising and your diet has gone downhill. Perhaps we need to relook at your insurance premiums.” This all becomes very dystopian.

Steven Cherry: Yeah, and I was going to ask you, Is it a bigger problem when the government is doing this, or private companies ?

Lisa Shay: It’s no longer just the government that we have to concern ourselves with. Back in the Cold War, we certainly thought of Big Brother as the government, because the organizations with the most resources to devote to this sort of issue tended to be governmental, but that’s no longer the case. And that’s an even bigger concern, because in countries like the United States, we have a Bill of Rights. We have laws that regulate governmental behavior that’s different from the laws that regulate corporate behavior, and the corporate law hasn’t necessarily caught up with these notions of privacy and sharing data and aggregating data.

Steven Cherry: In your writings you’ve used the phrase “police state.” You say we don’t have one, but we have the technology to have one. Actually, the problem in a way goes beyond that, right? It’s not just the police that can know everything about us, it’s Walmart, it’s our insurance company, it’s our bank, it’s everybody.

Lisa Shay: Yes. “Police state” is a turn of phrase that perhaps is a bit dated now. It’s designed to elicit . . . it’s a metaphor, and certainly in the ’50s and ’60s, we were most concerned with what governments were doing. And if you think about what life might have been like in Eastern Europe or in the Soviet Union in the 1950s, imagine what the KGB would have done with this kind of technology. But nowadays it’s not just the governments that we have to think about, it’s what happens when Walmart and my insurance company and my Visa card and my auto insurance company all are collecting data about where I am every minute of the day. Is my life really intended to be something that everybody can view at any given moment?

Steven Cherry: So the technology keeps getting better and cheaper and faster, and it seems that it is just going to become used more and more widely until we have no privacy at all. Do you see any way off of that roller coaster, which seems to be entirely downhill?

Lisa Shay: No future is inevitable. There are certainly courses of action that can be taken. My colleagues and I have analyzed this phenomenon from a couple of different perspectives. First, you look at who are the owners of these surveillance systems and what is their interest in setting these systems up. They typically have a legitimate interest in a very specific purpose, and then the people who make these systems should then target their applications to meet that single need—and either through voluntary standards and best practices of how these systems are designed from the ground up, or from regulations and laws bounding how these systems can be operated.

There are definitely ways to allow the owners of these systems to meet their immediate need for safety or security, or for monitoring employees’ behavior that are within the bounds of their employment contract, to meet those objectives in a way that doesn’t excessively violate our privacy. And we advocate designing systems with privacy built in from the ground up, so making these systems do their intended purpose but not more than that. But in many cases it may take government regulation or laws to limit how data is released. Something as simple as having individuals having opt-out or opt-in policies for surveillance would be a step in the right direction.

Steven Cherry: Well, we can hope that those laws come to exist or that those options come to exist. And let me thank you, Lisa, first of all for your service. . . . Your biography mentions that you were deployed as part of the NATO peacekeeping mission in Bosnia.

Lisa Shay: Oh, thank you.

Steven Cherry: And, of course, for your continued service at West Point. And let me thank you for joining us today.

Lisa Shay: Thank you very much for this opportunity.

Steven Cherry: We’ve been speaking with Colonel Lisa Shay of the U.S. Military Academy about our continually diminishing privacy, this time from portable license-plate-reading video cameras.



Global Source and/or and/or more resources and/or read more: http://goo.gl/HKcYU ─ Publisher and/or Author and/or Managing Editor:__Andres Agostini ─ @Futuretronium at Twitter! │ Futuretronium Supranational Initiative │ Futuretronium Book at http://goo.gl/JujXk ─ www.FUTURE-OBSERVATORY.blogspot.com
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NYTimes: West Antarctica Warming Faster Than Thought, Study Finds http://nyti.ms/Veb3E2 

Global Source and/or and/or more resources and/or read more: http://goo.gl/HKcYU ─ Publisher and/or Author and/or Managing Editor:__Andres Agostini ─ @Futuretronium at Twitter! │ Futuretronium Supranational Initiative │ Futuretronium Book at http://goo.gl/JujXk ─ www.FUTURE-OBSERVATORY.blogspot.com
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Thursday, November 8, 2012

QUESTIONS: Is this Future an unfortunate train wreck waiting to happen? How many Sputnik moments do we really need? I hope not! At whatever rate, there is universal underestimation of the dynamics of change!



Global Source and/or and/or more resources and/or read more: http://goo.gl/HKcYU ─ Publisher and/or Author and/or Managing Editor:__Andres Agostini ─ @Futuretronium at Twitter! │ Futuretronium Supranational Initiative │ Futuretronium Book at http://goo.gl/JujXk ─ www.FUTURE-OBSERVATORY.blogspot.com
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Friday, November 2, 2012


NASA Preps Drone Hurricane Hunters, But Misses Sandy

Hurricane Sandy has slammed onto the eastern seaboard. There’s been widespread damage and flooding across more than six states. There’s been loss of life. But at NASA, researchers are developing a pair of experimental unmanned drones to track future storms in the hope of being better prepared for when they strike.

That would be the high-flying Global Hawk, used by the Air Force to spy on insurgents in Afghanistan. But it’s also able to double for hurricane-hunting missions. They can stay in the air for longer than manned flights — up to 30 hours — giving the drones a much larger “window of opportunity” to fly into a hurricane, and can travel much farther and at higher altitudes than manned planes. When NASA flew one of its Global Hawks toward Hurricane Nadine in September, it sent the drone all the way into the eastern Atlantic, much farther out than the NOAA’s WP-3D Orion planes can reach.

In September, NASA began the first test flights of a pair of Global Hawks in a five-year-mission to track hurricanes and tropical storms, called Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel. It’s the first time aerial storm-tracking has been carried out by the drone, which NASA hopes will one day augment manned flights and allow researchers to measure changes in hurricane intensity for much longer periods.

But the drones just missed Sandy.

“Despite the fact that it was an incredibly busy hurricane season, we happened to hit the lull of season,” says Scott Braun, a research meteorologist and mission director. After concluding tests over the Atlantic that began in September, NASA’s one working drone left its Wallops Island facility in Virginia for the Dryden Flight Research Center in California — for a new round of tests in the Pacific. The other drone never left Dryden due to avionics problems, and neither were in Virginia when Sandy unexpectedly arrived.

Still, the project has a lot of potential for tracking hurricanes, Braun says. One of the reasons Sandy is so big — and strengthened considerably overnight Sunday — is due to the storm’s warm air colliding with a northern cold front, referred to as baroclinic forcing in meteorological terms. “Imagine right now being able to do these flights over Sandy where you’re mapping out the surface wind field, particularly in areas north of the storm which has slammed into the areas of New Jersey and New York,” Braun says. “Measuring that surface wind field could prove critical for forecasting.”

The two drones are equipped with different sensors. The first packs sensors for sampling environmental conditions around hurricanes. The second is designed to fly up above storms with a variety of instruments to measure the storms themselves; including a Doppler radar, a microwave sounder for measuring temperature and humidity, and a microwave radiometer for measuring surface wind speeds and rainfall. In combination, flying one after the other, the pair of robot storm-sniffers can measure more accurately how hurricanes get stronger.

But the drones also have their limitations. Manned planes are quicker and easier to get back into the air afterward than the Global Hawk, partly due to manned flights having larger ground crews. This gives NOAA’s current fleet the ability to do “frequent but short hooks” toward the storms, Braun says. Sufficiently cloudy or foggy weather can also ground the Global Hawk, as a manned observer plane is required to be nearby any drone launches due to FAA regulations. If the spotter plane can’t track the drone, then it can’t take off.

More likely, Braun says, is flying a combination of manned and unmanned flights, with each swapping out depending on the environment and distance. It won’t make the storms any less devastating, but it could give a bit more warning.



Global Source and/or and/or more resources and/or read more: http://goo.gl/HKcYU ─ Publisher and/or Author and/or Managing Editor:__Andres Agostini ─ @Futuretronium at Twitter! │ Futuretronium Supranational Initiative │ Futuretronium Book at http://goo.gl/JujXk ─ www.FUTURE-OBSERVATORY.blogspot.com
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